New world cup Over 2.5

🏆 Top Over 2.5 Goals Picks

AI ensemble: bookmaker market + head-to-head + Poisson + Monte Carlo

#1 79.8%
Germany National Team
vs
Curacao National Team
Date: June 14, 2026 5:00 pm
Expected goals: 4.26
Over 2.5 odds: 1.17
Model breakdown:
  • Bookmaker market 79.7% (weight 55%)
  • Poisson model 79.7% (weight 15%)
  • Monte Carlo 80.3% (weight 10%)

Germany National Team vs Curacao National Team. Estimated expected goals: 4.26. Bookmaker no-vig P(Over 2.5): 80%. Poisson: 80%. Monte Carlo: 80%. Final ensemble confidence: 79.8%.

#2 69.9%
Spain National Team
vs
Cape Verde Islands National Team
Date: June 15, 2026 4:00 pm
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Expected goals: 3.61
Over 2.5 odds: 1.33
Model breakdown:
  • Bookmaker market 70.0% (weight 55%)
  • Poisson model 70.0% (weight 15%)
  • Monte Carlo 69.4% (weight 10%)

Spain National Team vs Cape Verde Islands National Team. Estimated expected goals: 3.61. Bookmaker no-vig P(Over 2.5): 70%. Poisson: 70%. Monte Carlo: 69%. Final ensemble confidence: 69.9%.

#3 60.1%
Iraq National Team
vs
Norway National Team
Date: June 16, 2026 10:00 pm
Venue: Gillette Stadium
Expected goals: 3.11
Over 2.5 odds: 1.57
Model breakdown:
  • Bookmaker market 60.2% (weight 55%)
  • Poisson model 60.2% (weight 15%)
  • Monte Carlo 60.1% (weight 10%)

Iraq National Team vs Norway National Team. Estimated expected goals: 3.11. Bookmaker no-vig P(Over 2.5): 60%. Poisson: 60%. Monte Carlo: 60%. Final ensemble confidence: 60.1%.

Predictions are statistical estimates only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Please bet responsibly.

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